Auto Bubble

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  • #18635
    tommyjbehnke
    Member

    Professor Herbener,

    I have a quick question for you regarding the giant automobile bubble we currently have. Obviously, it is a result of credit expansion/artificially low interest rates. But would you say that it is fueled mainly by:

    A.) Car companies taking advantage of the low interest rates — investing too much, creating too much, and giving too many “sweet deals” to their customers;

    B.) Banks and investment firms, who are more than happy to invest in the subprime auto market and provide cheap loans; or

    C.) A mixture of both A and B?

    Thanks so much for your thoughts.

    #18636
    jmherbener
    Participant

    Auto loan statistics are compiled by Equifax. Here’s a piece on Equifax’s October 2014 report.

    http://insight.equifax.com/auto-market-revels-in-record-vehicle-loan-totals-a-breakdown-of-the-recent-national-consumer-credit-trends-report/

    It shows that in the fall of 2014 financial institutions had 31.4 million auto loans worth $453 billion and auto companies had 34.1 million auto loans worth $471.2 billion.

    Here’s an Equifax report on subprime auto loans.

    http://www.equifax.com/assets/corp/subprime_auto_economic_commentary.pdf

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