About Speculators

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  • #17738
    tatefegley
    Member

    I was wondering about the accuracy of the following statement about Bitcoin and speculation:

    “These spikes and drops – accelerated by speculators – haven’t stopped Bitcoin’s value from rising over time.”

    (full context found at

    I thought the effect of speculators was to smooth out price fluctuations, not exacerbate them.

    #22547
    neal.carr.2005
    Participant

    Massive Inflation

    #22548
    jmherbener
    Participant

    One could understand “accelerated” in the quote above as either faster in time or larger in degree. Speculation leads to faster adjustment and smaller degrees of price changes.

    One could understand “speculators” in the quote above as either investors reacting to uncertainty with a greater movement in their underlying expectations or investors arbitraging across any given underlying expected price discrepancy. The former will move the price up and down, the latter will reduce any range of prices. In economic theory, foresight typically refers to the former aspect and speculation typically refers to the latter aspect of human action. Although, admittedly, there is ambiguity in the economics literature concerning the use of the term, speculation.

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