Reply To: Please explain David Stockman quote


The investor borrows by issuing overnight repos which he renews each day. He pays 10 basis points to borrow overnight money because the Fed has pushed the Fed Funds Rate to that level. He then invests the funds in T-bonds paying 200 basis points and earns 190 spread. If the bond price begins to fall (i.e., its interest rate begins to rise), he loses capital on his investment. So, he sells and then pays off his repos instead of renewing them.

Stockman calls this “carry trade” because the investor is aiming to earn the spread between interest rates but faces the possibility of losses from adverse movements in bond prices just as the carry trade in foreign exchange seeks to earn an interest rate spread but can suffer losses from adverse movements in exchange rates.