Reply To: Changes in Calculation of U.S. GDP

#17797
jmherbener
Participant

The BEA has not yet changed the calculation of GDP.

http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/gdpnewsrelease.htm

Here is there press release on the change.

http://www.bea.gov/scb/pdf/2013/03%20March/0313_nipa_comprehensive_revision_preview.pdf

The major changes are including R&D expenditures in GDP. According to the BEA this would have added $300 billion to the $14 trillion GDP in 2007.

Capitalizaton of entertainment and literary products. BEA estimates this would have added $70 billion to GDP in 2007.

Capitalization of ownership transfer costs of residential fixed assets. BEA estimates this would have added another $60 billion to 2007 GDP.

Switch from cash to accrual account of pensions. BEA estimates this would have added another $30 billion to 2007 GDP.

So, the $14 trillion GDP would have been $460 billion, 3.3 percent, larger in 2007. Because the BEA plans to revise the figures back to 1929, I don’t think the changes will drastically affect measured growth rates.

The BEA methodology has always been littered with difficulties such as those highlighted by the changes it plans to make.

http://www.bea.gov/methodologies/index.htm#national_meth