Reply To: US-China Trade Relations

#21472
jmherbener
Participant

When Americans pay in dollars for imports from China, the Chinese have two alternatives: they can hold the dollars or spend them. If they hold dollars, then the purchasing power of the dollar is higher than otherwise. As a consequence, Americans can buy goods at prices lower than otherwise. If the Chinese spend dollars, then they can either buy goods from Americans, in which case there would be neither a trade surplus nor deficit, or they can buy American assets, in which case the current account deficit would be matched by a capital account surplus.

More than half of dollar currency is held by foreigners overseas. The following Fed study is dated, but the analysis of currency holdings is interesting.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/bulletin/1996/1096lead.pdf